Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.191908 0.216769 0.243087 0.272966 0.305889 0.341002 0.381224
2025-07-06 0.157408 0.190656 0.227890 0.272484 0.324233 0.382185 0.451773
2025-07-13 0.134734 0.173398 0.218843 0.275782 0.344759 0.425138 0.525375
2025-07-20 0.119415 0.162223 0.214736 0.283162 0.369161 0.472799 0.606181
2025-07-27 0.105025 0.150075 0.207574 0.285232 0.386124 0.511404 0.677179
2025-08-03 0.094911 0.142030 0.204364 0.291296 0.407592 0.555824 0.756740
2025-08-10 0.087115 0.136055 0.202966 0.299038 0.430988 0.603129 0.841451
2025-08-17 0.077491 0.126344 0.195372 0.297374 0.441124 0.632934 0.903956
2025-08-24 0.069693 0.118378 0.189342 0.297063 0.452534 0.664321 0.969183
2025-08-31 0.062788 0.110977 0.183357 0.296086 0.462497 0.693635 1.032167
2025-09-07 0.058483 0.107155 0.182258 0.301933 0.482150 0.736763 1.115351
2025-09-14 0.053342 0.101423 0.177689 0.302065 0.493151 0.767750 1.182223
2025-09-21 0.048417 0.095699 0.172878 0.301788 0.503935 0.799491 1.252399
2025-09-28 0.044018 0.090409 0.168302 0.301468 0.514462 0.831087 1.323343
2025-10-05 0.040830 0.086930 0.166388 0.305174 0.531212 0.872327 1.409631
2025-10-12 0.038706 0.085171 0.167197 0.313276 0.555096 0.924976 1.514399
2025-10-19 0.035829 0.081671 0.164680 0.315566 0.569634 0.963736 1.599372
2025-10-26 0.033873 0.079749 0.164766 0.322189 0.591354 1.014141 1.703391
2025-11-02 0.032330 0.078488 0.165914 0.330629 0.616304 1.070265 1.817694
2025-11-09 0.029550 0.074369 0.161445 0.328824 0.623917 1.099115 1.890381
2025-11-16 0.027216 0.070925 0.157957 0.328489 0.633857 1.131817 1.969828
2025-11-23 0.025010 0.067509 0.154232 0.327427 0.642369 1.162310 2.046440
2025-11-30 0.023799 0.066196 0.154529 0.333793 0.663989 1.214745 2.159375